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Thursday, March 10, 2016

NFL Free Agency Review [So Far]

With free-agency in full swing and the Cleveland Browns already confusing everyone yet again, the NFL is officially back. It feels like far longer than one month ago that the Broncos obliterated Cam Newton in Super Bowl 50, and I could not be happier that everyone's favorite source of concussions has finally returned. With that being said, I'm going to take a look at some of the biggest moves that have taken place over the past couple of day and give my feedback on them.

Pederson's QB Antics

Alex Smith's former backup will look to take over the starting job in Philly
After re-upping perennial underachiever Sam Bradford on a 2-year $36 million contract, new head coach Doug Pederson questionably signed athletic, undersized backup QB Chase Daniel for $21 million across 3 years. This signing was puzzling at best and downright ridiculous at worst. Even if Daniels pans out, why re-sign Bradford only to sign his eventual successor days later [sounds a lot like what they did with Ryan Matthews and DeMarco Murray, but more on that later]. The one positive to this deal is that Daniels only has a cap hit of $5 million, meaning that could easily cut him before the 2017 season if he turns out to be a mistake.

Grade: C-

Jacksonville Fills Massive Hole at Safety

Capitalizing on Cleveland's firesale, the Jaguars brought in Pro-Bowl safety Tashaun Gipson for $35 million over the course of 5 seasons. While Gipson was fantastic in 2014 when he made the Pro-Bowl, he was massively slowed down by hamstring problems this past season, and Pro Football Focus gave him a bottom-10 pass coverage rating among qualified players. However, with plenty of cap-room to spare, this was a necessary risk for Jacksonville to take, as it now gives them more flexibility in the draft.

Grade: B

Pittsburgh Takes a Flyer on Antonio Gates's Backup

Following Antonio Gates's 2-year extension with San Diego, there was no longer an immediate need for athletic freak Ladarius Green. Pittsburgh wisely scooped him up on a 4-year deal which could be worth up to $20 million with incentives. There, he will serve as a replacement for the retired Heath Miller. While the production has never been there, Big Ben loves throwing to his tight ends and Green should serve as a welcome change-of-pace to the slower albeit more refined Miller.

Grade: B+

Jaguars Add Punishing Runner to Backfield

Ivory will look to bring his punishing running style to Florida
Coming off of a heavily-worked season which saw Chris Ivory carry the ball over 200 times for the first time in his career, the Jaguars signed him to a 5-year $32 million contract. In my opinion, Ivory's production will be sorely missed by the Jets. however I don't see him thriving in Jacksonville. His carries are sure to decrease due to the presence of sophomore TJ Yeldon who has a similar running style, and third-down back Denard Robinson. This committee could get ugly fast, and I don't see him replicating his New York success.

Grade: C

Atlanta Addresses O-Line Woes

Continuing the mass exodus from Cleveland, Alex Mack has signed with the Atlanta Falcons for $45 million across 5 years. I highly rate this signing, as Atlanta's offensive line was their achilles-heel for much of this past season, Mack was ranked the 13th best center by Pro Football Focus despite being hampered by injury for much of the year. If he manages to replicate his pre-injury success, $9 million per season will be an absolute bargain.

Grade: A-

Giants Steal "Snacks" from New York Rivals

My favorite of any of the Giants' free agency additions, Damon "Snacks" Harrison was rated the best run-stopper in the NFL last season by Pro Football Focus and might very well prove to become the G-Men's best acquisition of this eventful offseason.The Giants snatched Harrison up for $24 million guaranteed over the next 5 years, with the deal potentially topping out at $46 million with incentives. $6-9 million for the NFL's best run defender seems like a steal to me, and pairing him with Jason Pierre Paul and Olivier Vernon [more on him later too] gives the Giants one of the best run-stopping defensive lines in the NFL.

Grade: A

Osweiler's Internship Under Peyton Results in Massive Payday

Osweiler celebrating after seeing Houston's contract offer
After a roller-coaster season which saw him success Peyton Manning, and get benched for him, Brock Osweiler is headed to Houston, where he will be paid $18 million per year for the next 4 years, despite very little quarterback experience. As tempting as it might be to lament about how the Texans taking a huge gamble on an unproven commodity who was benched for a quarterback who suffered arguably the worst quarterbacking regular season of all-time, I would like to congratulate Houston on finally making an effort to find a long-term starter in the most important position in all of sports. No offense to Tom Savage or Ryan Mallett, but I'm not counting them. I hope this gamble pays off for Houston, because it's about time they reward JJ Watt by giving him a quarterback [and a running back who will be mentioned very soon] who can help shoulder some of the load.

Grade: B

Out with Foster, in with Miller

Lamar Miller was one of the most sorely underused skill-position players in the NFL this past season, and congratulations to him for getting away from the most dysfunctional organization in the NFL not in Cleveland. Following a breakout season which saw him run for over 1000 yards for the first time in his NFL career, Miller was only given 20 carries per game once, and in that game he ran for 113 yards. Houston stole him for just over $6 million per year for the next 4. At age 24, and with hardly any miles on him, he should be a welcome replacement for the oft-injured Arian Foster.

Grade: A-

New York Finds its Ivory Replacement at a Fraction of the Cost

Matt Forte will look to continue his successful career in the Big Apple
Following 8 successful years in Chicago, Matt Forte is headed to New York on a 3-year deal worth up to $12 million. While he hasn't shown any signs of aging yet, Forte has had over 200 carries in all 8 of his seasons, which is very worrying. If Frank Gore showed us anything, it's that the only running back who can beat Father Time is Adrian Peterson. I think the Jets will manage to get at least one very good year out of Forte though, and his cheap contract makes it easy for him to be cut when he does fall off.

Grade: B+






Giants Boost Secondary with St. Louis Standout

Janoris Jenkins has steadily improved throughout each of his seasons in the NFL and is quietly emerging as one of the league's best cornerbacks. With Darrelle Revis regressing and aging, and Joe Haden struggling to cope with nagging injuries, Jenkins has a chance to establish himself as a top corner in the NFL. He sure is being paid like one [5 years, $62 million]. The one thing that worries me about this contract, is that in Jenkins's opening presser, he cited "being lazy at the end of games, or whatever" as one of his major weaknesses. That concerns me, but other than that, great deal for the Giants.

Grade: B+

Seattle Castoff heads to Oakland

Irvin had something of a falling out with Seattle's front office this past season, which led to his departure. Nonetheless, Oakland will be receiving an athletic, versatile linebacker who excels in pass-rush and can also drop back in coverage effectively. $37 million across 4 years is a fair price for someone of Irvin's caliber, and he fills a huge hole in the Raiders' front-seven. Nfl.com has him ranked the 5th best free-agent in the entire class.

Grade: A-

Giants Make Olivier Vernon the Highest Paid DE Ever

Olivier Vernon: Highest Paid DE of all time
In a shocking turn of events, the New York Giants splashed out an enormous sum of cash on Olivier Vernon to make him the highest paid defensive end of all time. While there's no denying that Vernon's second half of last season was the best of any defensive player's. He's something of a one-year-wonder. He was never the All-Pro or even Pro-Bowl caliber player for the first 3.5 years in the league that he was in the last 8 weeks of last season. Also, it's worth noting that Vernon's massive breakout came at a time where the Dolphins no longer had playoff aspirations, and were merely playing for pride under an interim head coach. However, this doesn't take away from the fact that Vernon was the best defensive player in the NFL for the second half of last season and, at age 25, still has plenty of room to grow. Additionally, the Giants had money to spend, and they used it to make sure they would bring in their guy, albeit for a little more than they should've.

Grade: B+

Thursday, March 3, 2016

Small-Ball Isn't for Everyone

Welcome to the first High Upside post of the 2015-16 season! [And only 4 months late.] One of the biggest narratives of the NBA season thus far [aside from Steph Curry's emergence as a demigod] has been NBA teams attempting to recreate the Warriors' success by playing "small-ball", and dramatically failing.

GSW's title marked the mainstream emergence of small-ball
During the 2015 NBA Finals, down 2-1 in games and having dropped the last two, head-coach Steve Kerr boldly replaced Center Andrew Bogut in the starting lineup with Small-Forward Andre
Igoudala. What followed came straight out of a fairytale. The Dubs won the next three games in a row and won the finals, while Igoudala took home series MVP honors.

As the saying goes, the NBA is a copycat league. Therefore, Kerr's shocking personnel change led other teams to question whether the two big-man system was antiquated and too slow. Journalists began to peg the Warriors and small-ball as prototypes for the next generation of basketball. Teams like the Indiana Pacers, Washington Wizards, and New Orleans Pelicans rebranded themselves as small-ball teams during the summer, in an attempt to emulate the success of Kerr and the Warriors. There's just one issue, all three of these teams failed to emulate the success of the Warriors and even failed to improve upon their own records from last season.

Myles Turner's impressive start to the season allowed
 Indiana to ditch small-ball and revert back to what they know
It's not as though Pacers blatantly failed, but rather they weren't successful in drastically improving upon last season's record. Last year, they finished 38-44 and missed out on the playoffs, but they were missing Paul George for all but the last 10 games of the season, as he was recovering from a broken leg he suffered with Team USA. In George's last full season [2013-14], the Pacers went 56-26 and finished with the Eastern Conference #1 seed. Despite their massive roster overhaul which included bringing in notorious ball-hog Monta Ellis and ditching big-men Roy Hibbert and David West, the Pacers experienced more of the same to start the season. After beginning the season with a mediocre 23-22 record, Frank Vogel decided small-ball wasn't for him and inserted rookie big-man Myles Turner into the starting lineup, reverting back to the tried-and-trusted two big-man system. The early returns have been very encouraging, as he is averaging 13 points, 6 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks per game as a starter and was just announced Eastern Conference Rookie of the Month of February. Things are looking up for them now that they've ditched small-ball.

John Wall and Co.'s underwhelming season have prompted
rumors stating HC Randy Wittman could be on his way out
The failure of the Wizards has been slightly more pronounced than that of Indiana. While the Pacers have at least been able to [thus far] improve upon their performance last season, the Wizards are considerably worse than they were last season. They finished the regular season with a record of 46-36, they currently sit at 30-30 this season and are 1 game out of the playoff picture as it stands. The one thing the Wizards deserve to be applauded for is their persistence and strong will, as they're yet to ditch their pace-and-space style. However, as stubborn as Washington are to maintain their short system, the results don't justify it. While their offensive rating is slightly better than last season's [22nd last year to 18th this year], they were one of the league's top defensive forces last year [5th in defensive rating], but are merely a below average defensive team this year [17th]. They'll probably make the playoffs in a wide-open bottom half of the Eastern Conference, but it's unlikely they'll be anything more than bait for the Cavs or Raptors. It's a shame because things were really looking up for them following a nice campaign which saw them make the 2nd round of last year's playoffs.

Despite the lack of the success the Wizards have gained throughout their experiment, their failure dwarfs in comparison to that of the New Orleans Pelicans. Followed by an extremely encouraging 2014-15 season which saw them beat out the Thunder for the West's final spot, the Pelicans decided to rebrand themselves as a small-ball team, to free up room down low. The change in ideology has proven to destroy all momentum the Pels had built heading into the season. They're seven games out of the West's final playoff spot and have now reclaimed their spot among the most financially
Davis's marvelous season has been overshadowed
 by the incompetence of his teammates and the front office in NOLA
troubled organizations. One of the worst parts of the Pelicans small-ball failure and regression, is that it's taken away from another fantastic Anthony Davis season. He's averaging virtually the same numbers he put up last year, while adding aa average three-point shot to his offensive repertoire. The Pelicans, much like the Wizards, seem intent on staying small, because Davis is their only traditional  big man averaging over 17 minutes per game, so expect for of the same throughout the rest of the season. They say if it ain't broke don't fix it, and in typical Pelican/formerly Hornet fashion, the Pelicans broke it and now find themselves back in the Western Conference cellar with no hopes of competing, and $14 million owed to Eric Gordon.

Despite all the attention and praise its give, small-ball clearly shouldn't be emulated. Unless a team has the luxury of containing the best shooter in NBA history and the league's most versatile and unique player, it might be slightly difficult for them to emulate the massive success the Warriors have had with the system.

Thanks for reading

Thursday, February 19, 2015

NBA Trade Deadline Review

It was an eventful trade deadline to say the least. After less year's colossal disappointment, this year's deadline did not disappoint. Eleven total trades were completed today. Here's what I thought of those trades:

Let's get the relatively small trades out of the way first:

Houston's newest PG
1. Prigioni escapes New York
Houston Rockets receive: PG Pablo Prigioni
New York Knicks receive: SG Alexy Shved, two second round picks
Houston gets a solid but unspectacular backup point guard for a trigger-happy benchwarmer who has
been traded three times since the end of the 2013-14 season and two second round picks. Nice move by Houston and the Knicks gets younger while shedding a small amount of salary.






2. Wizards and Kings swap backup point guards
Sacramento Kings receive: PG Andre Miller
Washington Wizards: PG Ramon Sessions
The Wizards sorely needed a better backup for John Wall than Miller, and Sessions has made a name for himself as one of the better backups in the NBA. Meanwhile, the Kings get Miller, someone who has played for new head coach, George Karl, and understands his system. It's also worth noting that his contract expires after this season.

3. Denver rids itself of the perennial Shaqtin' a Fool MVP
Philadelphia 76ers receive: C Javale McGee, 2015 1st round pick [top-18 protected]
Denver Nuggets receive: Rights to Cenk Akyol
Cenk Akyol, the man traded for JaVale McGee
Cenk Akyol is a Turkish basketball player who was drafted 59th overall in 2005. He is 27 years old
and is unlikely to ever set foot on an NBA court. Pure [and necessary] salary dump for the Nuggets, who finally rid themselves of his awful contract. The 76ers actually benefit from absorbing his contract, as they were in danger of not reaching the minimum requirement for players salary. This move should take them over the bottom.

4. Tayshaun comes home
Detroit Pistons receive: SF Tayshaun Prince
Boston Celtics receive: SF Jonas Jerebko, SF Luigi Datome
Tayshaun Prince is coming home. The starting small forward on the 2004 NBA champion Pistons is back. He will likely provide minimal value on the court and will serve as a veteran presence for a young Pistons team trying to make the playoffs. Boston takes on two fringe-rotation European wings who haven't panned out.

5. Rockets and 76ers curiously swap prospects
Houston Rockets receive: SF K.J. McDaniels
Philadelphia 76ers receive: PG Isaiah Cannon, 2nd round pick
McDaniels has shown that he has potential this year, as he is 2nd among rookies in blocks per game despite the fact that he isn't a big man and spends most of his time out on the perimeter. There's a very good chance he'll make an All_Rookie team. Meanwhile, after tetrode for Prigioni, there was no longer any need for Cannon, who is more shooter than point guard. He should get many chucking opportunities on a lowly 76ers team.

Now on to the good stuff:

6. Ainge gets his man, 5 months later
Boston Celtics receive: PG Isaiah Thomas
Phoenix Suns receive: SG Marcus Thornton, 2016 1st-round pick
This trade came as a bit of a surprise. After trading Goran Dragic [more on that later...] it seemed as though Phoenix would retain Thomas. I felt that they could've gotten more for a player of Thomas's
One of the most underrated scorers in the league
Thomas is now a Boston Celtic
quality. Although picking up a first-rounder was nice, I think landing a front-court player who could help the Suns contend this year would've been a wiser move. As for Boston, Danny Ainge must be commended. After striking out on Thomas, he was able to land him about 5 months later for 75 cents on the dollar. Ainge has collected enough first round picks that this trade will hardly dip into their supply. Thomas's contract itself [4 years $44 Million] is a steal, being that they snatched him for Marcus Thornton and a first rounder isn't necessarily grand larceny, but it was a nice move for Boston.

7. The Blazers steal Aron Afflalo
Portland Trail Blazers receive: SG Aron Afflalo
Denver Nuggets receive: SG Will Barton, SF Victor Claver, PF Thomas Robinson, 2016 1st-round pick [lottery protected]
Can Afflalo take Portland over the hump?
The Blazers are the clear winners here. Not only will Affflalo bring life to an absolutely awful bench [which has held Portland back for the last two years], but he also serves as a plug-in-play option in case Nic Batum never breaks out of his season-long slump. Additionally, Afflalo can also serve as insurance for Portland, should Wesley Matthews leave in free-agency. The Nuggets brought in a
subpar haul for very good player. Claver has minimal value [played just 31 games the past two seasons], Barton hasn't really done anything in his career so far [three points per game], while Robinson is a bust who is basically a ver poor man's Kenneth Faried; an offensively challenged rebounding specialist [even though pulling down four per game hardly makes him a "specialist"] who can't defend very well. The pick is likely to turn into a second-rounder due to the protection on it. Underwhelming for Denver to say the least.

8. The Thunder bolster their second unit
 Detroit Pistons receive: PG/SG Reggie Jackson
Oklahoma City Thunder receive: C Enes Kanter, SG/SF Kyle Singler, PG DJ Augustin, SF Steve Novak
Utah Jazz receive: C Kendrick Perkins
The Pistons pulled off a great move today. They traded Kyle Singler and DJ Augustin for Reggie Jackson. Jackson will give them a sorely needed scorer at the point, and although it remains to be seen what happens when he is allowed to fully facilitate an offense; the limited results have been very promising. He's shown the capability to win games singlehandedly [see: 2014 playoffs vs. Memphis
Grizzlies] and is an athletic freak. That isn't to say the Thunder lost. In fact, they may have done better than the Pistons. DJ Augustin is one of the premier backup point-guards in the NBA and is capable of catching fire in a hurry off the bench. Eyes Kanter is a fantastic compliment to Serge Ibaka who can also headline the second unit with Augustin if need be. And Singler and Novak are nice shooters [Novak especially] who thrive off of attention given to their teammates. By making this move, the Jazz have finally given themselves the ability to unleash Rudy Gobert on the rest of the NBA by trading Kanter, and are already negotiating a buyout with Kendrick Perkins.

9. KG's Homecoming
Minnesotta Timberwolves receive: PF Kevin Garnett
Brooklyn Nets receive: PF Thaddeus Young
KG's career has come full-circle
This is a moderate win-win to me. For the last three trade deadlines, I've been waiting for Thad Young to be set free. He puts up nice stats and looks the part of a great NBA role player, but he's always been stuck on awful teams.This year, his efficiency is slightly down, so the asking price was at an all time low, and the Nets made a nice move for him. The Nets aren't exactly a contender, but they're better than the 76ers and Timberwolves, so this made me happy. But Kevin Garnett waiving his no trade clause to go back to Minnesota as a mentor made me a little bit happier. Props to Garnett for swallowing his pride, realizing that he's not the player he once was, and deciding to go back to the team he came into the league with to mentor their young players. Solid trade for both sides.

10. Point guard madness
Phoenix Suns receive: PG Brandon Knight
Milwaukee Bucks receive: PG Michael Carter-Williams, Miles Plumlee, Tyler Ennis
Philadelphia 76ers receive: 1st-round pick via Los Angeles Lakers [top-five protected]
Eric Bledsoe's new running mate
You have to feel bad for the Bucks here. They didn't want to give up Brandon Knight, because they had finally figured out how to win at the helm and he gelled with coach Jason Kidd. But due to his upcoming free agency and their pressing need for front-court help [plus the tremendous upside of Carter-Williams and Ennis] basically forced their hand in this trade. It will undoubtedly make them
worse, but it was necessary. The biggest concern for me is that Kennth Faried-like feeling I get with MCW. He has the physical tools and raw skills to become a superstar in the league but there's a solid chance that he may have plateaued as a player, much like Faried. The Suns really scored here, landing Brandon Knight [who will make a nice running mate for Eric Bledsoe in the backcourt] for Tyler Ennis, the Lakers top-five protected pick that will likely end up in the top five and Miles Plumlee, who had fallen out of the rotation due to the emergence of Alex Len and acquisition of Brendan Wright. The 76ers taking a huge gamble, betting on the Lakers' pick to fall out of the top-five. If the Lakes pick ends up inside of the top-five, the Sixers will have lost their best player for nothing.

11. Goran [and Zoran] takes his talents to South Beach
Miami Heat receive: PG Goran Dragic, SG Zoran Dragic
Phoenix Suns receive: John Salmons, Justin Hamilton, Danny Granger, 2017 first-round pick, 2019 first-round pick
New Orleans Pelicans receive: Norris Cole, Shawne Williams
Is Goran Tragic enough to turn the Heat into contenders?
Short term, the Miami Heat are huge winners. They traded essentially no players of value and received a premier point guard. Norris Cole, Danny Granger, Justin Hamilton, and Shawne Williams were all fringe-rotation players who had very little value to the team. Dragic gives the Heat a really nice front-court, with the weakest link being Luol Deng. If Dwyane Wade's hamstrings cooperate, the
Heat could end up making some noise in the playoffs. In the long term however, the Phoenix Suns could end up as winners. Two years from now, Wade and Bosh probably won't be the players they all are and that first round pick could end up being more valuable than people think right now. And in 2019, Wade will almost certainly be retired if not regulated to an off-the-bench role while Bosh will be 35 years old, and who knows if Dragic will still be on the team by then. It may be a tough pill to swallow for Phoenix right now, but in the long run, this was not a bad trade at all. Cole provides point guard depth for an ailing Pelicans team while Shawne Williams has already been bought out.


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Wednesday, February 4, 2015

Midseason NBA Mock Draft

1. Minnesota Timberwolves - Jahlil Okafor, C, Duke - Okafor is far and away the safest prospect in this year's class. Nonetheless, he still has enough upside to be a franchise player. He's a man among boys in the paint, pulling off post moves like a 10 year veteran and grabbing rebounds with ease against the NCAA's finest bigs. The Al Jefferson comparison really works in my opinion and pairing him with Andrew Wiggins would give Minnesota a fantastic, young core.


Mudiay on the Guangdong Tigers
2. New York Knicks - Emmanuel Mudiay, PG, Congo - Before injuring his ankle, Mudiay showed his ability to hang with and even thrive against the pros. Playing in China, Mudiay was averaging 17 points, 6 boards, and 6 assists per game through 10 games. He has legitimate athleticism and natural point guard instincts. He will be a welcome addition to a dreadful Knicks roster.

3. Philadelphia 76ers - D’Angelo Russell, PG/SG, Ohio State - No player has seen his stock rise more than D’Angelo Russell. Hardly viewed as a 1st round prospect coming into the season, Russell blown expectations out of the water with the Buckeyes. Russell has displayed his phenomenal scoring ability, limitless range, and playmaking skills. With Michael Carter-Williams’ future with the 76ers unclear, Sam Hinkie would be wise to target guard with this selection.

4. Los Angeles Lakers - Stanley Johnson, SF, Arizona - Johnson is one of the top wing defenders in the entire NCAA. His relentless hustle, elite athleticism, and high basketball IQ make him a great prospect. Although he’s not a gifted scorer, Johnson never takes a bad shot. I really like the Metta World Peace comparison for him. The Lakers could use someone with Johnson’s characteristics to help usher in the post-Kobe era. 

5. Orlando Magic - Mario Hezonja, SG/SF, Croatia - This pick makes a lot of sense if the Magic opt not to retain Tobias Harris in restricted free agency. Harris, reportedly, would love to play for the Knicks, and the Knicks have the cap room to make a serious offer. If Hezonja is still on the board when the Magic are up to pick, they would be wise to save their money and draft Hezonja. Despite played limited minutes for Barcelona, Hezonja has displayed his limitless range and an array of savvy, offensive moves, He’s better in transition than many people may think and is a competent on-ball defender. He’s not a finished project, but neither are the Magic.


Notre Dame G Jerian Grant
6. Indiana Pacers - Jerian Grant, PG, Notre Dame - Although Grant is a bit of a reach at #6, the Pacers desperately need a point guard who can step in right away and score. I don’t think that anyone is convinced that George Hill is the answer, and Indianapolis needs some offensive firepower to go along with their defense if they hope to win a title with the return of Paul George. Grant is a smart and willing passer, as shown by his 3: 1 assist-to-turnover ratio, and a magnificent scorer, as demonstrated by his 17 points per game while shooting 51% from the field.

7. Utah Jazz - Kristaps Porzingis, PF/C, Latvia - Porzingis would prove to be the ultimate compliment to Rudy Gobert. Enes Kanter is an impending free agent who shouldn’t be brought back, and Derrick Favors can’t play with Gobert at the same time because their playing styles are far too similar. With that being said, Porzingis is the ultimate stretch-5 whose perimeter presence will free up room in the paint for Gobert to do his thing.

8. Detroit Pistons - Justise Winslow, SG/SF, Duke - Although Winslow has cooled off recently after his scorching start, he remains a great complimentary player. He also fills a need for the Pistons, who lack an answer at small forward. Although his long-range jump shot isn’t where it needs to be, Winslow has a nice frame, a great work ethic, and is a fantastic perimeter defender. 

9. Sacramento Kings - Myles Turner, PF/C, Texas - The Kings have reportedly been shopping Nik Stauskas for an above-the-rim defender or a stretch-4. In Turner, the Kings would get both while retaining their promising, albeit disappointing 1st rounder. Turner is averaging three blocks per game, and has shown the ability to knock down long-range shots.

10. Boston Celtics - Willie Cauley-Stein, C, Kentucky - With Cauley-Stein, you know exactly what you’re getting. He’s a fantastic interior defender and rebounder with plenty of athleticism and on offense, he’s nothing more than a dump-off option and a pick-and-roll threat, much like Tyson Chandler. The Celtics’ big men aren’t necessarily intimidating, noir are they even adequate defenders, or remotely athletic.

11. Atlanta Hawks [via Brooklyn] - Kelly Oubre, SF, Kansas - The rich get richer. The Hawks have no weaknesses, but they could use some athleticism and youth on the wing. Oubre is an outstanding athlete and a great rebounder with a respectable jump shot who can catch fire at any moment and take over a game. His defense is a work in progress, but he can be worth the wait.

Is Karl Towns worth the risk?
12. Denver Nuggets - Karl-Anthony Towns, PF/C, Kentucky - I’m not as high on Towns as everyone else seems to be. He’s a really good ball-handler and has a nice jump shot to go along with prototypical size and strength, but he’s far too passive for someone of that size and he floats around the perimeter far too often. He’s a promising  prospect with a high ceiling and a low floor, but at #12, he’s more than worth the risk.



13. Oklahoma City Thunder - Devin Booker, SG, Kentucky - A bit of a reach at the end of the lottery, but a good pick nonetheless. Andre Roberson is a nice player, but he’s not OKC’s long term shooting guard. Devin Booker is a deadeye shooter and a brilliant cutter whose defense could use a little bit of work, but his ability to make plays without his number being called would add another dimension  to Oklahoma City’s offense.

14. Houston Rockets [via New Orleans] - Frank Kaminsky, C, Wisconsin - As we’ve seen recently, he Rockets sorely lack depth behind Dwight Howard, and Kaminsky would give them just that. He projects as the ideal backup center and could even log in some minutes alongside D12 as a stretch-4.

15. Charlotte Hornets - Kevin Looney, SF/PF, UCLA - Looney scares me a little as a prospect. Historically speaking “tweeners” have had a tough time succeeding in the NBA. And at 6’9” with a skinny frame and an undefined offensive game, Looney is just that. However, someone with a ceiling as high as him falling out of the lottery would be a gift for the Hornets, and they would gladly accept.

16. Philadelphia 76ers [via Miami] - Christian Wood, PF, UNLV - The 76ers find themselves in a  tough spot here. All of the best remaining players are big men, when the 76ers desperately need help on the wings. Unless they are able to trade this pick away, I believe that they will go with the highest ceiling available, and that distinction belongs to Christian Wood. He’s a fantastic athlete with a huge 6’11” frame. However, he’s very thin at 220 pounds and struggles to finish through contact. If he is able to hone in on his three-point shot and continue to thrive as a rebounder and shot blocker, the reward could be well worth the risk.

Bobby Portis is criminally undervalued
17. Milwaukee Bucks - Bobby Portis, PF, Arkansas - Portis has nice size at 6’10” and his skill and finesse more than makes up for his lack of supreme athleticism. Using his mid-range jumper and crafty inside game, Portis has been averaging 17.7 points on 56% in addition to his 8.7 boards per contest. With the Bucks’ front-court situation murky at best, it would be wise for them to go with a big man, and Portis would be an absolute steal this late.



18. Phoenix Suns - Montrezl Harrell, PF, Louisville - His offensive game is alarmingly limited for a 6’8” junior, as he can basically only score on putbacks and dump-offs. However, what Harrell lacks on offense, he makes up for with his athleticism and motor. I like the J.J. Hickson comparison for Montrezl.

19. Chicago Bulls [via Cleveland] - Tyus Jones, PG, Duke - The Bulls could use a long-term backup for Derrick Rose who can come in, and quarterback the offense. Tyus Jones fits the bill perfectly. His lack up strength and athleticism limit his upside, but he’s a natural, smooth point guard.

20. Dallas Mavericks - Trey Lyles, PF, Kentucky - The Mavericks need frontcourt depth, having traded away Brendan Wright to acquire Rajon Rondo. Lyles is an ideal third big man, capable of eventually starting once Dirk Nowitzki retires. He has a smooth mid-range jump shot and is a really good rebounder on limited minutes. The Mavs would be getting a huge steal at #20.

21. San Antonio Spurs - Caris LeVert, SG, Michigan - If LeVert’s foot surgery goes well, the Spurs could end up with a lottery-caliber player at #21. His ability to effectively create his own shots off the dribble in addition to his spot-up shooting ability could be very useful off the bench for San Antonio.

22. Cleveland Cavaliers [via Chicago] - Sam Dekker, SF, Wisconsin - Dekker is a player that thrives off of the attention given to his teammates. He moves very well without the ball and is a physical mismatch on the wing at 6’9”. On a talented team, Dekker could get lots of easy scoring chances, and he’s one of the best at converting those chances into points.

23. Washington Wizards - Delon Wright, PG, Utah - It’s time for Washington to invest in a backup point guard. Wright’s defensive mindset [over 2 steals per game] and excellent decision making [14.4 points per game on 54% shooting, 5.6 assists per game] make him a prototypical backup point guard despite not possessing a decent three-point shot.

Could Justin Anderson replace Terrence Ross?
24. Toronto Raptors - Justin Anderson, SF, Virginia - Anderson has been the best player on the second-best team in the country. His excellent play, particularly on the offensive end, has propelled Virginia to a 20-1 record. He is currently shooting 50% from behind-the-arc on more than four attempts per game. The Raptors could use a steady shooter at the small forward position with Terrence Ross turning out to be a bit of a disappointment.

25. Portland Trail Blazers - R.J. Hunter, SG, Georgia State - Although his shooting has regressed this year [due to the Doug McDermott treatment he’s received from opposing defenses], Hunter remains one of this year’s safest options. He projects as a nice 4th or 5th option as a spot up shooter and a smart passer. Since Wesley Matthews is an impending free-agent, it may be wise for Portland to spend this pick on insurance.

26. Boston Celtics [via Los Angeles Clippers] - Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, SF, Arizona - Hollis-Jefferson projects as a pure hustle player at the next level. He takes smart shots [10.9 points per game on 50% shooting] and rebounds very well for his position. He’s a versatile defender who can guard 2’s, 3’s, and 4’s because of his length and he has ample athleticism. The main knock on Hollis-Jefferson is his lack of a jump shot. If he doesn’t show the ability to hit three-pointers, he may experience a Jerami Grant-type fall on draft boards.

Robert Upshaw needs to get his stuff together
27. Los Angeles Lakers [via Houston] - Robert Upshaw, C, formerly of Washington [dismissed] - If Upshaw didn’t have a knack for failing drug tests and getting dismissed from schools [two in the past two years], we’d be looking at a fringe lottery pick. Before his dismissal, the behemoth [7’0”, 250 lbs.]  was leading the nation in blocks by a wide margin [4.5 per game]. In addition to his shot-swatting, he was averaging 10 points and 8 rebounds per game. Aside from his character issues, the biggest knocks on Upshaw are his free throw shooting and his offensive limitations. He might resurface in the D-League, much like P.J. Hairston, in an effort to boost his stock.

28. Memphis Grizzlies - Yogi Ferrell, PG, Indiana - Although the basic stats don’t necessarily show it [16.8/4.7/3.2], Yogi Ferrell has had an impressive season. He’s finally been handed the keys to the car this season  and he’s shown the poise necessary to run an offense in the NBA. His three-point shot has also been a pleasant surprise [44% from downtown]. He’s a solid backup point guard in the making.

29. Brooklyn Nets [via Atlanta] - Dakari Johnson, C, Kentucky - It’s a shame that Johnson plays for Kentucky, because he’d surely be racking up double-doubles for almost any other program. In 18 minutes per game, Johnson is averaging 7.9 points and 5.5 rebounds per game on 51% shooting. He has the potential to become a double-double monster in the NBA and Brooklyn may be on the hunt for a center with Brook Lopez’s impending free agency.

30. Golden State Warriors - Mouhammadou Jaiteh, C, France - If the Warriors aren’t able to trade trade this selection, they’d be wise to go draft-and-stash. Jaiteh has displayed tantalizing potential and can become a valuable center in the long run, but for now it’s important for the Warriors to save the money and roster spot while Jaiteh develops his game overseas.


Thursday, December 4, 2014

Way-Too-Early NBA Award Predictions

The NBA season, so far, has been exciting to say the least. With that being said, there's still plenty of time for everything to revert back to normal [the Bucks return to being the Bucks, Kobe Bryant remembers how to shoot, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist forgets how to shoot, etc.], or maybe for even more surprises [the Pacers find life, anyone?]. Anyways, here are your way-too-early NBA Award Predictions.

Andrea Bargnani gets an A for effort.
NBA Most Valuable Player:
Anthony Davis, PF/C/God, New Orleans Pelicans

Anthony Davis is 21 years old, that means he's supposedly a few years away from his prime. I, for one, can't wait to see what his prime is if this isn't it. Davis playing unbelievable basketball. He is 4th in the league in points per game [24.9], 8th in rebounds per game [11.3], 11th in field-goal percentage[.556] among qualified players, 2nd in steals per game [2.31], 1st, by a mile, in blocks per game [3.06], and 3rd in the league in double-doubles [11]. His only flaw is his passing, as he averages less than 2 assists per game. Nonetheless, Davis is a ridiculously multi-faceted player who thrives in virtually every aspect of basketball. He's improving at an otherworldly rate, and he's miles ahead of everyone in his draft class, including Damien Lillard. Anthony Davis is the NBA's best player at the moment.
Honorable Mention: Stephen Curry, LeBron James, Kevin Durant


NBA Rookie of the Year:
McDaniels has been a nice
surprise for the otherwise
gut-wrenchingly bad 76ers
K.J. McDaniels, SG/SF, Philadelphia 76ers
McDaniels is a cautionary tale for NBA executives. Kevin McDaniels Jr. was a projected mid-1st round pick, [which, in hindsight, would've been a bit low anyways], until he had a poor shooting day at the combine, which led to his free-fall on draft night into the 2nd round. Now, McDaniels [in my opinion] has been the most impressive rookie so far this season, as he's certainly blown expectations out of the water. He is averaging 10.3 points per game, good for 3rd among rookies. He ranks 6th among rookies [1st among perimeter rookies] in rebounds per game [3.8], and he leads all rookies in blocks per game [a 6'6 wing leads all rookies in blocks per game], he's 11th in the NBA in block percentage [5%], and ranks 2nd among rookies in three-pointers made, so much for his poor shooting at the combine.. There will be plenty of opportunities for McDaniels to rack up minutes and stats on a talent-deprived 76ers team that lost its first 17 games. I don't think McDaniels will win the award, but I do think he should if he sustains this level of play.
Honorable Mention: Jabari Parker, Andrew Wiggins, Elfrid Peyton




Your NBA Coach of the Year frontrunner,
 ladies and gentlemen!
NBA Coach of the Year:
Jason Kidd, Milwaukee Bucks
What a difference a year makes. Last season, Brooklyn fans were calling for his head, as he was a coaching monstrosity [let's not forget the "spilling incident"]. This season, Kidd has helped turn the Milwaukee Bucks into a decent, competent NBA team. They currently sit at 10-10 and if a few fluke things went their way [ex: Monta Ellis turning into a contortionist with 2 seconds left in regulation and the score tied], they may have been looking at an above .500 record 20 games into the season. The Bucks are a serious candidate to make the playoffs in the lowly Eastern Conference, one year after out-tanking the 76ers, and it's largely due to the presence of Kidd.
Honorable Mention: Rick Carlisle, Dave Joerger, Tom Thibodeau

NBA Most Improved Player:
Jimmy Butler, SG/SF, Chicago Bulls
Butler's offense is finally catching up to his defense
So we weren't all wrong about Jimmy Butler! We were just one year early. After being widely considered an extreme breakout candidate heading into the 2013-14 season, Butler produced an underwhelming offensive season which saw Butler come nowhere close to the high expectations placed on him and average 13 points per game on 39% shooting, Butler has turned up the heat this year. He's averaging 21 points per game on 49% shooting while maintaining his elite level of on-ball and team defense. It may not seem like such a drastic improvement, being that every other aspect of Butler's game has remained at the same level, but for Butler, scoring makes a world of difference. As tough as it may be to realize, Derrick Rose will never be at 100% for more than 50 games in a season. Since that has now become evident and apparent, it's safe to say that Chicago needs more scoring. Pau Gasol is a fantastic offensive player, but there's only so much he can do on the perimeter. Joakim Noah is more of a defender and hustle guy, and while Nikola Mirotic has shown signs of being an effective complimentary scorer, there's no room for a 3rd big man in the starting lineup. Doug McDermott is a deadeye shooter, but Tom Thibodeau has a notorious reputation of keeping rookies off the court [i.e.: Jimmy Butler]. Therefore, it's pivotal that Butler steps up, and thus far, he has.
Honorable Mention: Gordon Hayward, Tony Wroten Jr., Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

The best perimeter defender of this generation, here seen
harassing the NBA's best scorer
NBA Defensive Player of the Year:
Tony Allen, SG/SF, Memphis Grizzlies
If you watched only offensive film of Tony Allen, you'd wonder why on Earth this excuse for an NBA player starts and plays meaningful minutes on a title contender, and has been for several years. Then you'd see his defense, and it would all make sense. When Allen is on the court, he's putting in twice as much effort as everyone else. As his nickname, "The Grindfather", suggests, Tony Allen is a hustler. He dives for every lose ball and will do whatever it takes to win, particularly on the less-glamorous end of the court. He's currently 4th in the league in steals per game, 1st among non-point guards. He also ranks 3rd in the NBA in defensive plus/minus, at 4.4 [meaning that the Grizzlies are 4 points worse with him on the bench than they are with him in the game], 7th in the league in defensive rating, and 1st in steal percentage [4.2%]. He does all of this while guarding the opposing team's best perimeter player night in and night out. But Allen's contributions go beyond even the most advanced stat sheets. He's the heart and soul of the Grizzlies' defense that is arguably tops in the NBA.
Honorable Mention: Andrew Bogut, Kawhi Leonard, Tim Duncan

-Jack Benun

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Thanks for reading!

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

One Player to Watch on Each NBA Team

What an offseason. As if the most loaded draft class in recent memory wasn't enough, we also saw the game's best player "come back home" which shocked everyone [including the Heat] and this, of course, sparked a series of events: The Heat shocked us again by bringing back Chris Bosh on a max deal. The Rockets had been under the impression that Chris Bosh would sign with them if LeBron James were to leave the Heat, so the opted not to match the Mavericks' offer sheet to Chandler Parsons. Now faced with a gaping hole at small forwards, the Rockets overpaid for Washington's Trevor Ariza which led them to sign Paul Pierce. King James' decision to "come home" also led to Carmelo Anthony's decision to stay with the Knicks, which led to the Bulls amnestying Carlos Boozer and signing Pau Gasol, and that led to the Lakers picking up Boozer. Last but not least, the most important move influenced by James was the Kevin Love to Cleveland trade. Sensing the constant? LeBron James affects EVERYTHING.
With all of that being said, I chose one player from each team that I believe will greatly impact their team's success this season in a somewhat low-key manner.
Disclaimer: Obviously, LeBron, Anthony, Kobe Bryant, and Kevin Durant will determine how far their teams will go. That's not what these rankings are about.


Atlanta Hawks: Demarre Carroll
Carroll had a career year last season by every measure. He posted career highs, by a mile in points per game [11.1], rebounds per game [5.5], steals per game [1.8], and field-goal percentage [.470]. His previous career highs in those categories were 6 - 2.8 - .9 - .460. He did all of this while establishing himself as one of the best on-ball defenders in the entire NBA. Last year's breakout surprised just about everyone as he proved to be the perfect compliment to deadeye shooter Kyle Korver. There is some serious doubt as to whether or not Carroll can maintain this level of productivity.  If he can, the Hawks may take the East by surprise and do some serious damage.

Boston Celtics: Evan Turner
Evan Turner's career is headed downhill. After failing to come close to the expectations placed on him coming out of Ohio State, Turner had the ball in his court last season [horrible pun unintended], he was the best player on a horrid 76ers team and was given the opportunity to show Sam Hinkie that he belonged, he didn't. Turner turned out to be an efficiency monstrosity, hitting less than 29% of his
threes while taking 2.4 per game. They traded him to Indiana for salary room. He flamed out there, struggling to play meaningful minutes on a team that actually mattered. If he can re-establish himself as a versatile 6th man, Turner's career may see new light, if he doesn't make the most of his opportunity however, he may see his career turn into a series of non-guaranteed contracts and DNP-CD's.

Brooklyn Nets: Deron Williams
There's no denying D-Will's fall from grace. There was a slightly noticeable decline during the 2012-13 season, then last season he suddenly aged 10 years. Excluding his rookie season, Williams
averaged career lows in points per game [14.3], assists per game [6.1], and minutes per game [32.2]. He was a shell of his former self last year. He was too passive, as he dealt with nagging injuries all season long. If he doesn't return to shape soon, we may be looking at a potential amnesty candidate next offseason.




Charlotte Hornets: Cody Zeller
Zeller had a mildly impressive rookie season when you consider the fact that he played 17 minutes per game. Post all-star break, Zeller began to show what he's capable of, putting up 7.7 points per game and 5 rebounds per game while shooting over 50% from the field in less than 19 minutes per
game over the course of 29 games. With Josh McRoberts now in Miami, Zeller will have to take on a much larger role, as he will be starting over the raw, unpolished Noah Vonleh. If Zeller adds some range to his jump shot and makes better use of his size-athleticism blend, the Hornets can be dangerous.







Chicago Bulls: Tony Snell
Snell was a combine riser last June. Hardly on anyone's radar prior to the 2013 NBA Combine in Chicago, Snell stunned executives with his ability to shoot the long ball, defend, and finish at the rim.
He didn't get many minutes last year as a rookie [16 per game], not uncommon under Tom Thibodeau, but performed decently when given the opportunity. In 12 games as a starter last season, Snell averaged 9.3 points per game while shooting a hair below 40% from behind-the-arc. As a sophomore, Snell will see an uptick in minutes similar to that of Jimmy Butler during the 2012-13 season. He needs to give the bench a scoring boost if the Bulls hope to compete for the title.

Cleveland Cavaliers: Anderson Varejao
Varejao had a nice season last year. He played 65 games, which is 10 more than what he played the previous two seasons combined. He averaged 8.4 points per game and pulled down nearly 10 boards
per game in less than 30 minutes per game. This was the first season in the past 4 that his season did not end with an injury. If Cleveland wants to win the title [and they do], he needs to stay healthy.



Dallas Mavericks: Brendan Wright
Brendan Wright amazes me. In less than 20 minutes per game,  he averaged 9 points, 4 rebounds, and 1 block per game. Those numbers barely seem impressive, until you consider that he was the Magic's best interior defender and was 10th in the entire league in PER. Now that he's backing up the extra-frail Tyson Chandler, he will see starting minutes from time to time. If he gets enough minutes, he
can transform the offensive-mined Mavs into defensive specialists.

Denver Nuggets: JaVale McGee
The "Shaqtin' a Fool" MVP is more novelty than player at this point. That needs to change if the Nuggets look to make any noise this season. Before a season ending injury early on in the yearl: Javale was averaging 7 points, 3.5 boards, and a block and a half per game. McGee will be starting at
center until J.J. Hickson returns from a torn ACL, and judging by Denver's cautious medical staff, that may not be until 2015. In the event that McGee becomes the full-time starter this season,
JaVale needs to finally rake his job seriously and show up.

Detroit Pistons: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
The rookie disappointment looks to have finally come around. After a terrible rookie season, Caldwell-Pope has been dominating the preseason. His 3 point shot seems to have finally carried over
and his on-ball defense looks spectacular. He will be starting this season and his 3 point game better be on point, because otherwise, he may find himself falling out of favor in Stan Van-Gundy's three-heavy offense.

Golden State Warriors: Shaun Livingston
Livingston thrived in Brooklyn's small-ball attack last season in what was by far his best  year since *gulps* the injury. Livingston put up 8-3-3 in the regular season and 10-3-3 on 51% shooting in 12 games [10 starts], showing that he's not afraid of the moment. If he can carry his momentum over to Golden State and back up Stephen Curry effectively, the Warriors' offense will be a force to be reckon with.


Houston Rockets: Trevor Ariza
As I mentioned in the introduction, Ariza went to the Rockets in a series of bizarre events that followed LeBron James' decision. The man he'll be replacing is Chandler Parsons. On paper, there doesn't seem to be a drop off at all, one may even make the argument that Ariza is the better player.
But Parsons was said to be the glue that held the locker room together. Parsons was supposedly the only mutual friend between James Harden and Dwight Howard. It will be interesting to see if he can fill the void left by Parsons both on the court and in the locker room.

Indiana Pacers: Rodney Stuckey
Due to the departure of Lance Stephenson and the...uh... injury to Paul George, the Pacers are somewhat offensively challenged. This is why I thought that signing Stuckey on the veteran's
minimum deal. There's one thing Rodney Stuckey can do, and that's score. He may not be good for much else, but he can put the ball in the basket. If he has an efficient year, the Pacers may not fall off the face of the Earth.


Los Angeles Clippers: Ekpe Udoh
For years, the Clippers have lacked that 3rd big man that can spell DeAndre Jordan or Blake Griffin without compromising too much interior defense. Although Udoh has been a disappointment throughout his short career, he may be just that. His defense will be key in Jordan and Griffin's
stamina throughout the season and their playoff push.





Los Angeles Lakers: Jordan Clarkson
Plagued by inconsistency and lack of "natural point-guard skills" throughout his collegiate career, Clarkson fell way too low to Washington at no. 46, he was immediately traded to the Lakers. With
Steve Nash officially out for the season [he had been unofficially out since last season], Clarkson finds himself as the primary backup point man in LA. He's a true scorer and an excellent penetrator, if he can improve the nuances of his game, he may be a special player for LA.

Memphis Grizzlies: Quincy Pondexter
Before suffering a torn ACL early on last season, Pondexter was establishing himself as the Grizzlies'
6th man. He had played lockdown defense and was an occasional 3-point threat [39%] and played a crucial role in their playoff series win against the Clippers. If he picks up where he left off in 2013, he may bring some life to a dreadful Memphis bench.


Miami Heat: Luol Deng
This is one of the only times where I will be using a team's top 2-3 player but Deng warrants it. If I were Deng, I would have this chip on my shoulder the size of Mt. Everest. He spent the last 9 seasons working his tail off for The Bulls [one time playing through a flu so bad, he lost 16 pounds when transmittted to the hospital]. The Bulls then traded him for nothing [Andrew Bynum, who was cut
immediately after the trade] to the Cavs, who made absolutely no effort to retain the swingman. The Heat then swooped him up for 75 cents on the dollar. Deng will be grinding harder than ever this season [picture that, it's almost impossible to believe that Deng can hustle more than he already has]. I actually believe that the Heat have sleeper potential this season and can shock the world.

Milwaukee Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo
This was an easy one. The Greek Freak is finally unleashed and I couldn't be happier. Not only will he be starting across from Jabari Parker, but Jason Kidd has been running sets with him at point https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GMpnefps_tM
guard. Point guard. Wow. The man is 6"10 and still growing and the Bucks are going to put him in point guard sets. I'm hyped. If you're not hyped then click this link: I promise you'll be hyped.





Minnesota Timberwolves: Shabazz Muhammad
Aside from having the best name in the NBA, there's a lot to like about Shabazz Muhammad. He's coming off of extremely disappointing rookie [yet thrived in the D-League] but he's now on a Kevin Love-less rebuilding team. Rebuilding teams tend to play their young players vey often. Muhammad needs to make the most of this season if he looks have a successful career, because he won't get a better opportunity to prove himself than this season.

New Orleans Pelicans: Ryan Anderson
If only Ryan Anderson stayed healthy last season. He was picking up right where he left off from 2011-2013 despite missing the beginning of last season due to injury. He was rolling, averaging 19.8
points, 6.5 rebounds, and 3 three-pointers per game at a 40% clip [he also had an otherworldly FT% of .952]. before suffering a scary season-ending neck injury. He will be coming off the bench this season along with Tyreke Evans. If he stays healthy, he will thrive as the team's best shooter and 6th man playing starter's minutes.



New York Knicks: Iman Shumpert
It appears as though Iman Shumpert has never fully recovered from his torn ACL ice bucket challenge he suffered in the postseason of his rookie year. The injury was an unfortunate end to his ultra-promising rookie season. He averaged nearly 10 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists, and nearly 2 steals per game during his first year. The torn ACL cost him a little less than half of his sophomore season,
after returning, it seemed as though he progressed as a 3-point shooter [40%, up from 30% his rookie year], but regressed everyone else [slash line of 6.8 - 3 - 1.7 - 1]. His stat line from last year was nearly identical to that of his sophomore season, except he regressed as a shooter [33%]. Shumpert needs to figure things out because he's their best option to start at shooting guard. Tim Hardaway Jr. still has ways to go as a defender and creator while J.R. Smith is a natural 6th man.

Oklahoma City Thunder: Jeremy Lamb
If you ask me, Reggie Jackson shouldn't be starting next to Russell Westbrook. Jackson is essentially a poor man's Westbrook, they're far too similar. But if Jeremy Lamb wants this job, he needs to put in some serious. Ever since his sophomore season at UConn, Lamb has always left something to be desired. Nonetheless, in a weak draft class, Lamb was selected in the lottery. Before playing a minute
for the Rockets, they made him the centerpiece of the James Harden trade [for those of you who think it was Kevin Martin, he was on an expiring deal and the Thunder knew thy weren't resigning him]. His rookie year was disappointing by every measure, as he only appeared in 23 games and averaged 3 points per outing. Last season he showed flashes of his immense potential, but for every "flash", there was a game where he was held scoreless. He wound up averaging 8 points per game in 20 minutes per game. This is his best shot to show he belongs in the league.

Orlando Magic: Evan Fournier
I'm a big fan of Fournier's game. I think he can become a faster, more pest-like version of J.J. Redick. He was shipped to the Magic for Aron Afflalo this offseason. With news that Victor Oladipo is out "indefinitely" with a facial fracture, Fournier will begin the season as the starting shooting guard. He's not Oladipo in an athletic sense, but Fournier is arguably Orlando's quickest player. If he makes the most of his opportunity, he can establish himself as a key cog in Orlando's future.

Philadelphia 76ers: Tony Wroten Jr.
After a lackluster rookie year with the Grizzlies in which Wroten never cracked the rotation and spent most of the year in the D-League, Wroten was traded to Philly for virtually nothing in return. He quietly turned himself into a really nice bench scorer, averaging 13 points in 25 minutes per contest.
He'll likely get even more minutes this season if/when Jason Richardson gets hurt. He could stand to improve his horrendous three-point shot [21% on 2.6 attempts per game], and his ball-handling [2.8 turnovers per game] as well as his defense [only one steal per game] and his free throw shooting [64%]. If he improves in any of these areas, he'll be a bright spot in a Sixers season that won't have many of them.

Phoenix Suns: Alex Len
The Suns are going to run and score a ton this season. They're stacked at the point guard position and on the wings. The lone question mark is the center position. Miles Plumlee had an alright season, but no one thinks he's the long term answer. He doesn't have enough upside. Len is packed with upside, otherwise, he wouldn't have been drafted no. 5 overall last year. He never amounted to much his first
season. He started the season late because of foot surgery and never got into any sort of rhythm. In fact he averaged more fouls + turnovers a game [2.2], than he did points per game [2.0]. He's shaping up as a major bust and needs to prove himself this season.

Portland Trail Blazers: C.J. McCollum
Portland has no bench. It's a fact. No team relied more on their starting five last season than the Blazers. C.J. McCollum is on a mission to fix that. He had offseason surgery going into last season and played limited minutes as a rookie. He has serious scoring talent, and if given the minutes, can be
extremely helpful for the Blazers because he gives them exactly what they need. He needs to hone in on his scoring instincts this season to inject some energy into a lifeless Portland bench.

Sacramento Kings: Ben McLemore
If I'm Ben McLemore, I'm nervous. He was literally drafted last year and barely had an opportunity to showcase what he can do. And the Kings already drafted his replacement, Nik Stauskas. McLemore probably feels a bit slighted and has a big chip on his shoulder. He'll be playing with a purpose this
season to show why he was drafted with the 7th pick in last year's [incredibly weak] draft class. He needs to prove his doubters wrong this season or else he might find himself regulated to the bench or in a trade.

San Antonio Spurs: Kawhi Leonard
I'm sorry. But who else should I have put here? The Spurs are too boring to predict, you know they're going to finish first or second in the west. And unless someone goes down with an injury, you know what everyone's stat line will look like. The only reason I chose Leonard is because he's a restricted
free agent after this offseason, he wants a max deal, and the Spurs really don't want to give him one. Reportedly, talks between the two parties have stalled and will likely not be resumed in the near future. It will be interesting to see how he plays with this contract situation completely unresolved.

Toronto Raptors: Lucas "BeBe" Nogueira
Remember the guy who got drafted by Boston last year and was immediately traded to Atlanta in the Kelly Olynyk deal? No? Maybe his gigantic afro will jog your memory:
If that didn't help, rest assured, I'm sure you're not the only one. Anyways, spent this past season plying in Brazil and was traded to the Raptors for basically nothing. He's in a prime position to
succeed, he'll be backing up, and occasionally playing alongside Jonas Valenciunas. The two compliment each other perfectly. Jonas is a  polished, slow, offensive-minded bruiser. While BeBe is a shot blocking, athletic, raw, thin big man. His offense may have ways to go, but if the Raptors play them together, they can be an under-the-radar dynamic duo.



Utah Jazz:
Rudy Gobert
I like to look at Gobert as the big-man equivalent of the Greek Freak. He's raw, foreign, extremely long [longest standing reach in NBA history, 9"7, he can basically dunk a tennis ball on his tippy-
toes], and is one of the most athletic players in the game. It also doesn't hurt that he broke out for France in this year's FIBA Basketball World Cup. He was an extremely key cog in a team that won bronze. He doesn't have much polish, but either Enes Kanter or Derrick Favors is going to have to move over, because there's no denying how he can impact a game.

Washington Wizards:  Otto Porter Jr.
One of my favorite prospects in last year's draft, Porter had a terrible rookie year. He broke his hand, got an extremely late start to the season, and wound up suiting up in only 36 games as a rookie. 36 horrid games. He averaged 2 points per game, 1.5 rebounds per game, and shot 36% from the field. He's made major strides this offseason, tearing up the Vegas Summer League and the preseason. It
looks like he will be Paul Pierce's primary backup this season, which will give him an opportunity to show his athletic limitations don't get in the way of him having a nice NBA career.



Thanks for reading! Hope you enjoyed it, please comment below and follow by email!

-J.B.